“If Georgian-Ossetian and Georgian-Abkhaz conflicts escalate, it will reflect in the whole Southern and Northern Caucasus,” Director of the Center for Military and Political Forecasting Anatoly Tsyganok stated on July 25, 2006 during ‘Russia and Georgia: Variants of Way out from Deadlock’ press conference in Moscow, a REGNUM correspondent informs.
“Even if presidents of Chechnya, Ingushetia, Kabardino-Balkariya, and other Caucasian republics call on their people not to participate in these conflicts, it does not mean that some representatives of these peoples will not participate in them,” Mr. Tsyganok believes. “It is Caucasus – they have relatives everywhere,” he added.
According to Mr. Tsyganok, Russia does not wish these conflicts’ escalation. “If Russia fails to agree with Georgia, it will deploy its air-defense systems in the Armenian territory, strengthening and securing its borders in such way,” he believes.
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